Deportes Tolima vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAL
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HUI
0 - 0
TOL
12%
24%
64%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 2
TOL
27%
27%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
TOL
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
JUN
0 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 1
IND
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |