Copa Colombia Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Deportes Tolima vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HUI
1 - 2
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
TOL
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 0
MWA
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
JUN
16%
28%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
ONC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
BLO
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |