Deportes Tolima vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 2
HUI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
40%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
JUN
3 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |