Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 2
TOL
18%
28%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 3
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
AGU
38%
30%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
CUC
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
ONC
1 - 0
AGU
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |