Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
EQU
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |