Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOL
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
HUI
4 - 7
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 2
SFE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |