Deportes Tolima vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CUC
2 - 1
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SLU
4 - 5
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 2
GRE
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
ECS
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 0
CUC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 1
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |