Deportes Tolima vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
TOL
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 1
EQU
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 3
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
ENV
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
PAT
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 2
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |