Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
EQU
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
CUC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 3
PER
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 3
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |