Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 2-0
Deportes Tolima vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 3
HUI
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
COR
9%
20%
71%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
COR
26%
26%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |