Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 4-1
Deportes Quindío vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
QUI
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
BOG
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CUC
3 - 1
QUI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOG
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
BOG
4 - 0
BAR
27%
30%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
QUI
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
BOG
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 2
AFC
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |