Dénia vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
DEN
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ACE
0 - 2
DEN
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
DEN
0 - 0
OND
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
DEN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 3
ACE
77%
15%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
OND
1 - 0
PEG
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
PEG
51%
27%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 2
GAN
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |