Dénia vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
JAV
2 - 2
DEN
45%
26%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
DEN
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 1
LAL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 4
DEN
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLO
0 - 1
DEN
13%
21%
65%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CTS
4 - 0
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ATZ
3 - 2
CTS
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UDC
1 - 0
CTS
60%
23%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CTS
1 - 2
JAV
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CTS
2 - 1
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |