Dénia vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
UDQ
0 - 0
DEN
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 2
OLI
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 0
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
GAN
4 - 2
DEN
63%
22%
16%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
PAT
4 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
ASP
5 - 3
PAT
49%
26%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
ALG
1 - 0
ASP
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ASP
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UDC
1 - 1
ASP
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ASP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |