Dénia vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CTS
3 - 3
DEN
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAL
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DEN
3 - 2
TAV
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
DEN
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
DEN
4 - 1
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
GAN
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
JAV
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 0
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |