FCV Dender vs VW Hamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
DEN
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
EEA
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GEE
3 - 3
DEN
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
EEA
1 - 3
DEN
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
VW Hamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VWH
1 - 2
OOS
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GEE
2 - 1
VWH
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VWH
0 - 3
LOM
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
VWH
25%
21%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VWH
2 - 4
EEA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |