FCV Dender vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
RWD
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 2
BRG
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 2
DEN
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEE
1 - 1
DEN
60%
23%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 3
WAA
14%
21%
64%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 0
SDL
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZUL
0 - 3
SDL
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SDL
5 - 0
AND
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
KVM
2 - 0
SDL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SDL
3 - 0
ANT
23%
25%
51%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |