FCV Dender vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
1º
28
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KRC
0 - 4
DEN
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
KRC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
DEI
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
KRC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 2
DEI
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
5 - 0
STL
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
STL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |