FCV Dender vs Châtelet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
EEA
1 - 3
DEN
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 2
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VWH
2 - 2
DEN
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 1
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HEI
2 - 1
DEN
68%
18%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Châtelet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
OUD
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LOM
1 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
EEA
1 - 2
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
HEI
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GEE
4 - 0
SPO
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |