FCV Dender vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
3º
27
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
KVC
4 - 2
DEN
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
DEN
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
DEN
2 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEU
4 - 4
DEN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DEN
1 - 1
SDL
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 2
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 1
SDL
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
SDL
0 - 1
LEU
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEU
4 - 4
DEN
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KVM
1 - 1
LEU
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |