FCV Dender vs Jong Genk analysis


58	ELO	61
-3.6%	Tilt	-6.3%
445º	General ELO ranking	2373º
18º	Country ELO ranking	47º
ELO win probability

33.8%

FCV Dender

27.1%

Draw

39.1%

Jong Genk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%

27.1%

Draw

0-0

8.4%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.1%

39.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+1%

-28%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

40

1º

3º

1º

27

1º

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
3º	40	21	1º	100%
2º	47	17	2º	0%
1º	49	17	3º	0%
6º	23	9	4º	0%
4º	28	9	5º	0%
5º	27	7	6º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FCV Dender

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Mar. 2023	STL 1 - 1 DEN 53% 25% 22%	57	61	4	0
10 Mar. 2023	DEN 1 - 0 DEI 18% 25% 57%	56	68	12	+1
03 Mar. 2023	LOM 1 - 0 DEN 66% 21% 13%	56	68	12	0
24 Feb. 2023	DEN 2 - 1 EXC 43% 26% 31%	56	55	1	0
11 Feb. 2023	WAA 5 - 2 DEN 79% 14% 6%	56	73	17	0

Matches

Jong Genk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Mar. 2023	KRC 1 - 1 EXC 54% 25% 21%	62	55	7	0
12 Mar. 2023	LOM 2 - 0 KRC 48% 26% 26%	62	68	6	0
05 Mar. 2023	KRC 1 - 1 STL 47% 26% 27%	62	61	1	0
25 Feb. 2023	DEI 1 - 3 KRC 56% 23% 20%	61	69	8	+1
19 Feb. 2023	KRC 2 - 2 STL 46% 26% 27%	61	60	1	0