FCV Dender vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
OUD
2 - 2
DEN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
DEN
23%
22%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
BER
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 0
VWH
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OUD
3 - 0
EXC
60%
20%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |