FCV Dender vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BRU
2 - 0
DEN
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 1
LOK
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
DEN
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 3
MON
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVC
0 - 0
DEN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
GNK
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 3
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BRU
1 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
LOK
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |