Democrata SL vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 0
POA
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
5 - 1
VEC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BET
0 - 2
DEM
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DEM
2 - 1
BOA
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |