Democrata SL vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 1
DEM
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
1 - 1
USC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 1
FUN
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FEC
2 - 6
DEM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAM
3 - 0
URT
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
URT
1 - 0
UBE
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAM
2 - 1
URT
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
URT
3 - 1
PAT
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
UBE
2 - 1
URT
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |