Democrata SL vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 3
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
DEM
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 0
DEM
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
0 - 4
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
DEM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
URT
1 - 3
CAL
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FUN
4 - 1
URT
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
3 - 0
URT
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
URT
0 - 0
ECI
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 0
URT
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |