Democrata SL vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
DEM
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
DEM
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 1
NOV
13%
23%
64%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEM
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
BET
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 2
URT
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 0
TUP
20%
19%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 2
BET
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 1
NEC
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |