Democrata SL vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
50%
22%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
DEM
1 - 0
IFC
41%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
4 - 2
BOA
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEM
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEM
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TUP
2 - 0
ATM
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BOA
3 - 1
TUP
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
FLA
4 - 0
TUP
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
TUP
2 - 3
FLA
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
TUP
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |