Democrata SL vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
MAM
0 - 0
DEM
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 4
MAM
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
4 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 0
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 1
DEM
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 1
URT
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
URT
4 - 0
PAT
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
4 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |