Democrata SL vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
4 - 2
BOA
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEM
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEM
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 1
DEM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 0
CAL
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
IFC
0 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FER
3 - 1
IFC
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
IFC
0 - 0
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
IFC
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 0
IFC
60%
21%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |