Democrata SL vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DEM
2 - 1
AMF
12%
19%
69%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAL
2 - 1
DEM
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 0
DEM
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
DEM
1 - 1
BOA
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
DEM
2 - 2
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
IFC
0 - 3
CRZ
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
IFC
2 - 1
BOA
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
AME
2 - 2
IFC
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
IFC
3 - 1
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 2
IFC
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |