Democrata SL vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 2
IPA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
2 - 1
DEM
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
URT
3 - 0
DEM
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 0
ARA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 3
PDC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
3 - 2
ECI
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ECI
3 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 1
ECI
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 2
PDC
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
FUN
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |