Democrata GV vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 1
MIN
71%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 2
DEM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
0 - 1
DEM
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
DEM
1 - 3
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UBE
1 - 2
URT
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
URT
1 - 1
MAM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
URT
2 - 0
DEM
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
USC
1 - 3
URT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 1
URT
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |