Democrata GV vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 1
DEM
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEM
85%
11%
3%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 1
DEM
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 0
ANA
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POA
1 - 2
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 2
UBE
83%
13%
4%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 0
TOM
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |