Democrata GV vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
DEM
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
DEM
3 - 0
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 0
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEM
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
DEM
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
MIN
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
AME
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
1 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 1
SOC
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |