Democrata GV vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
DEM
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
DEM
1 - 0
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
DEM
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
DEM
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
DEM
0 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
3 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
RBB
26%
30%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
31%
29%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
RBB
3 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -2 |