Democrata GV vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
DEM
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
3 - 0
DEM
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 3
AMF
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FUN
2 - 5
DEM
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
NEC
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
TUP
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |