Democrata GV vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 0
DEM
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 2
UBE
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
DEM
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
4 - 1
BOA
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
4 - 0
UBE
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
RBR
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 5
ATM
10%
18%
73%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
4 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |