Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 1-3
Democrata GV vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEM
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 0
RES
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
4 - 2
VIT
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
DEM
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RDA
0 - 8
ANA
10%
22%
68%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
BRA
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
ANA
20%
27%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
LTD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
URO
0 - 0
ANA
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |