Demize NPSL vs Ozark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Demize NPSL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
WIC
1 - 1
DEM
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SLA
0 - 3
DEM
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
TUL
6 - 0
DEM
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
LRR
1 - 0
DEM
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DEM
0 - 2
WIC
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ozark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
TUL
3 - 1
OZA
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
LRR
3 - 1
OZA
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OZA
1 - 2
SLA
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
OZA
0 - 1
TUL
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
OZA
0 - 1
LRR
6%
12%
81%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |