Demize NPSL vs Ozark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Demize NPSL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
DEM
3 - 4
LRR
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
OZA
1 - 4
DEM
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
DEM
0 - 3
SLA
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
TUL
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ozark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
OZA
0 - 1
WIC
6%
12%
82%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
OZA
1 - 4
DEM
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SLA
1 - 1
OZA
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TUL
3 - 0
OZA
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
WIC
5 - 0
OZA
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |