Delta Porto Tolle vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SCA
4 - 5
DEL
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DEL
2 - 2
SDT
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 1
URI
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
DEL
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 3
DEL
21%
24%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 3
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VFC
2 - 1
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
IMO
1 - 0
VIR
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 2
LEN
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |