Delta Porto Tolle vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 2
DEL
62%
20%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 0
UAR
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
DEL
9%
17%
74%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 0
VIN
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEL
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 1
SAM
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MEZ
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
MEZ
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 2
RAV
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 1
IMO
30%
26%
43%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |