Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
6º
34
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odisha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 0
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
DEL
2 - 1
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
DEL
3 - 2
CHE
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 4
DEL
24%
24%
51%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HYD
1 - 0
DEL
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MBS
1 - 0
JAM
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
MBS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MBS
1 - 0
HYD
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 0
MBS
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
MBS
2 - 1
NOR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |