Delfín vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 1
IVT
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 2
DEL
42%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 0
UCE
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
DEL
0 - 0
ORE
42%
29%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
MUS
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 5
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CAU
0 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |