Delemont vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCB
4 - 1
DEL
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
2 - 2
KRI
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
1 - 3
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
2 - 1
STG
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 1
DEL
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
ETO
16%
22%
61%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAV
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 2
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |