Degerfors IF vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
15º
15º
7
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 61 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 5
DEG
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEG
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 1
DEG
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DEG
1 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
DEG
0 - 1
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIR
29%
26%
44%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
3 - 1
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
IFK
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
AIK
2 - 0
IFK
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |