Def. Unidos vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
TAL
1 - 1
CAD
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
CAD
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 1
JJU
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 2
SMG
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SUA
1 - 1
ALM
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 2
SUA
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SUA
0 - 0
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 1
SUA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
SUA
0 - 1
STM
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |