Def. Unidos vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAD
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 2
TAL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAD
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
LAF
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 4
BER
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
ALE
40%
30%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TAL
0 - 0
ALE
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 3
CCO
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |