Def. Unidos vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LAM
2 - 2
CAD
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 0
LAF
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 1
CAD
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAD
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 2
ESP
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 0
TAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 0
LIN
69%
21%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 1
FEN
22%
26%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 0
LAF
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 1
UAI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |